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European containerised imports look likely to be stuck with demand growth of no more than 2% for years to come. That means the long-hauls into northern and southern Europe, where Ultra Large Containerships are perfectly suited to reap the benefits of economies of scale, will suffer unless cascading is accelerated.
Container volumes in head-haul and regional trades are the key drivers of container vessel demand, average container rates, liner operator profits, and, since 2020, port congestion. According to Container Trade Statistics, combined head-haul and regional trade volumes fell 0.4% y/y in the first half of 2022. Head-haul volumes were 1.3% lower than a year ago while regional volumes were 0.6% higher. Under normal market circumstances the peak season in key head-haul trades should lift Q3 volumes. However, recently released volume statistics indicate that there may be no peak season in 2022 but it is very likely that volumes will slow in Q4.
Strong demolition activity dampens fleet growth, while stable US demand supports optimism as we head into the “peak-season”
The maritime industry’s transition to the sulphur regulation from the International Maritime Organization (IMO) which came into force on 1 January 2020 has not been without problems. Since fuel oil properties are fluctuating, it is expected that quality and safety problems will continue to be a challenge for the global shipping industry.
Washington/Copenhagen/London, 3 January 2024; The World Shipping Council, the International Chamber of Shipping and BIMCO today expressed their thanks to the 12 nations that have jointly condemned the ongoing illegal attacks on ships in the Red Sea and unlawful detention of vessels and crews there.
All the talk and rumours in the industry and in the press about ship orders being cancelled, delayed or postponed is beginning to show in the order book
Spot rates for shipping of containers out of Shanghai bound for Europe have now slipped below the USD 1,000 per TEU–mark for the first time since March 2009. Following yet another weekly drop in freight rates on this main trading lane, boxes are now being shipped off at USD 992 per TEU, USD 27 per TEU lower than last week.
