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As adopted at the General Meeting in Rome, June 2017
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2018 has been a slow year for dry bulk demolitions, with only 4.2 million DWT scrapped (as of 17 December), down 71.6% compared to last year. An almost total halt in Panamax demolitions has been an important factor behind this fall, with demolition in every ship segment down.
This article contains extracts from BIMCO's Reflections 2019, which will be available in full on 2 January 2019 on www.bimco.org and will be sent out to all BIMCO members alongside thier free member copy of BIMCO's Holiday Calendar 2019.
BIMCO’s Chief Shipping Analyst will be participating at the INTERCEM Shipping Forum in Rome, Italy on 22 January 2019 and the Slide2Open Shipping Finance Conference in Athens, Greece on 24 January 2019.
The effects of rising barriers to trade, capital flowing out of emerging market economies, and the elevated geopolitical risk are now clear to everyone.
Peter Sand, chief shipping analyst at BIMCO, talks to Alex Younevitch, managing editor for EMEA shipping at S&P Global Platts, about the container market and the challenges that it is facing from the escalating US-China trade war, the upcoming IMO 2020 regulation, and tonnage oversupply.
Peter Sand talks about Iran sanctions and the oil market from CNBC.
January 2019
Container imports on both the US East Coast (USEC) and West Coast (USWC) had a strong year in 2018, growing 3.7% and 8% respectively in the first 11 months of the year compared to the same period in 2017.
December 2018
November 2018
Although the 25% tariff on Chinese imports of US soya beans was implemented on 6 July 2018, its effects have only really started to show since the start of the fourth quarter.
The fragile recovery is stalling because the fleet is growing too fast.
The continued severity of the tanker market conditions has made owners dig deep into the oversupply of capacity. Still BIMCO expects the tanker fleet to keep growing. A short-term rate recovery is not expected, as it is ‘maintenance season’ for the global refining industry in September and October.
By examining our fleet-growth estimate alone, 2019 looks like a year in which the fundamental balance can only improve. But the trade war remains the wild card here.
For the seventh month in a row total US crude oil exports excluding china hit a new all-time high reaching 7.9 million tonnes in September.
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