Market analysis

Impact of COVID-19 on Future Shipping Demand with BIMCO's Peter Sand

From the drastic decrease in oil demand to lockdown in manufacturing, Peter provided an overview of the macroeconomic challenges being faced by individual shipping sectors and subsequently indicators of how the breakbulk and project cargo sectors are faring through the current pandemic. 

Coronavirus and its impact on shipping

How is shipping affected by the coronavirus pandemic and the low oil price by mid-April? The trio of analysts, Alan Murphy, CEO & Founder of Sea-Intelligence; Russel Thomson, CEO & Founder of Tradeviews and BIMCO Chief Shipping Analyst, Peter Sand, had a 2-hour marathon webinar session to try and answer those question. They covered the three main shipping segments – dry bulk, containers and tankers.

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Get analysis of the dry bulk, tanker and container markets. The BIMCO market analysis team writes a mix of quick insight and deep analysis – but with a focus on the fundamentals: supply and demand.

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April 2017

Container shipping: New networks come into focus as the supply side holds the key to improvements

The most recent available data show that demand for the container shipping grew by 2.7% in 2016. With the supply side growing by only 1.3%, this meant that the fundamental market balance improved for the first time since 2011. This development is primarily due to decisive actions by shipowners who sold excess tonnage for demolition.

Tanker shipping: Shipowners have their work cut out handling the supply side in 2017

Oil tankers experienced a tough start to 2017 as freight rates for all crude oil and oil product tankers continued their decline following the brief lift at year-end. For one, VLCCs may not yet have bottomed out. By 7 April 2017, average earnings stood at USD 18,853 per day, down from USD 63,284 per day on 16 December 2016.

Macro economics: Economic indicators have been pointing up in recent months

The recent months’ uptick in global indicators, which implies a strengthening in the global economy, is not sufficient for the patient to be discharged yet. The state of the global economy is still uncertain, despite stronger growth dynamics in advanced economies, and not least in China.

China's import of iron ore to propel dry bulk shipping demand in 2017

China's import of iron ore will continue to be a key driver for the demand growth in 2017 for the dry bulk shipping industry, alongside shipping of grains.

March 2017

Meet BIMCO’s Chief Shipping Analyst at Dry Cargo Conference 2017 - POSTPONED to 2018 -

BIMCO’s Chief Shipping Analyst, Peter Sand, will be speaking at the Dry Cargo Conference taking place on 1-2 June 2017 at the RAI Exhibition and Convention Centre in Amsterdam, The Netherlands. Discounts for BIMCO members available.

Is the dry bulk industry still on track for profitability in 2019?

This recent lift in freight rates is certainly positive, but there is still work to be done on the supply side. A significant level of demolition activity must be maintained, and increasing focus must also be on keeping slow steaming around. Estimating a return to profitability in the dry bulk industry remains a moving target, and one that differs from one company to the next. But by projecting a course for profitability, everyone in the industry can use it as a reference.

Dry bulk fleet exceeds 800 mill DWT as supply surges

The dry bulk fleet exceeded 800 mill DWT in January 2017, as the dry bulk fleet grew by 2.6% year on year.  BIMCO’s Chief Shipping Analyst Peter Sand expects the dry bulk fleet to grow 1.6% for the full year in 2017, if the projected demolition activity of 19 mill DWT is realised.  The declining growth rate from the panamax, supramax and handysize segments was absorbed by a growing capesize fleet; the total fleet growth was stable in 2016. 

February 2017

Record high crude oil tanker deliveries adds instant freight rate pressure

January 2017 already accounts for 22% of the crude oil tankers previous year’s total deliveries, due to tremendous VLCC delivery growth.

January 2017

Dry Bulk Shipping: Q4 provided optimism, Q1 will make sure we don’t get carried away

Iron ore provides 30% of the demand for the dry bulk market and, during 2016, its related tonne-mile demand went up by 6%. This was the key factor behind the overall demand side growth of 2.2%.

Tanker shipping: A strong season lifts crude oil tankers before it is expected to hit the fan in 2017

From a crude oil market perspective, 2016 can be summed up as “eventful”. In January, the international sanctions on Iran were lifted, resulting in a very swift increase of their oil production capacities and subsequent re-entry into the global oil export market.