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Macro Economics - Uemployment, sovereign debt and deficits remain challenging before growth can firmly be called sustainable

14 October 2010

Global Economy: WTO says that trade is likely to grow by 13.5% in 2010. This is an upward revision of world trade from the March forecast of 10%. The massive growth comes back-to-back with the 2009 decline of 12.2%, and has to be seen in that perspective. However, the news is positive and definitely helpful for the global economy as it struggles to leave the crisis behind and sustain positive growth going forward.

Macro Economics - GDP and world trade growth downwardly adjusted as the double-dip-ghost refuses to leave the stage.

09 October 2011

2011 started out with a lot of optimism fuelled by a surprisingly better-than-expected growth in the second half of 2010. As the year has progressed it has turned into a paradise lost rather than the sustainable recovery we were all hoping for. Since the January issue of World Economic Outlook was released, IMF has reduced the growth expectations for the Global GDP and now expects only 4.0% growth in 2011. If this forecast holds true, it will be the slowest global growth since 2003 – if you discard the crisis-years of 2008 and 2009. Slashing not only its 2011-estimate, the 2012 outlook has been further lowered, cutting a 0.5%-point off the previously expected 4.5%. Growth is not only slowing down, it is also more unevenly distributed. The growth in advanced economies is now set for 1.6% as compared to an estimate of 2.4% 20 months ago. In contrast, Emerging and Developing economies are up 0.1 to reach 6.4 as compared to 20 months ago.

Dry cargo market report dated 1 May 2020

04 May 2020

Capesize: A tepid week for the big ships, as macro concerns continued to weigh heavily on the index. All of the major voyage routes lost value, with the exception of the C5 West Australia-China route, which traded up a modest $0.21 on the week, on a steady fixing cadence by the majors. The weekly dry bulk market report contains a summary of the recent movements in the market, alongside the latest figures for average dry bulk earnings and Baltic Dry indices.

Newbuilding report dated 16 June 2020

17 June 2020

Challenging macro-economic fundamentals and a complete change of scenery in both the dry bulk and the tanker market within less than a couple of months, seem to have put a break on appetite for newbuilding orders, with owners having adopted a much more sceptical approach as far as investments on the newbuilding front are concerned. The weekly newbuilding report by Intermodal Research & Valuations feature, include newbuilding prices for dry bulk-, tanker- and gas shipping segments. Additionally, recent newbuilding orders are listed by units, type, size, yard, expected delivery date and price.

Macro Economics - Recent die-hard optimism is being shadowed by dark clouds partly created by political problems. Key figures are falling short of expectations, but the direction is alright

13 June 2012

The recent optimism has fortunately not completely evaporated following the latest series of less positive economic indicators from across the globe, including India, the US, Brazil and Spain. The EU debt situation creates a lot of uncertainty, not only as regards economic development but also regarding the political situation on both sides of the Atlantic Basin.