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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has downgraded its global growth projection from 3.7% in April to 3.4% in July. The adjustment is primarily due to the large negative result in the US in the first quarter of the year. The IMF stressed that this is now behind us – and it therefore sticks to its 2015 projection with an unchanged growth level of 4.0%.
The recovery in the advanced economies continues to strengthen as fiscal consolidation is slowing down and investors are less worried about the debt situation. We have seen this with several southern European nations now being able to tap into the financial markets once again at interest rate levels signalling improved health.
As the recovery continues to move forward, the bumps in the road are both new “friends” and old “foes”. We are still concerned with the lack of inflation in both the US and Eurozone, as production capacity far exceeds demand.
2014 is off to a good start, as global economic growth is already stronger than anticipated three months ago. At the end of January, the IMF upwardly adjusted its estimates for global economic development in 2013-2015. Amongst the countries receiving noticeable positive adjustments were the US, Japan, Spain, UK, China and India.
With a sigh of relief, shipping people all over the world received the positive numbers indicating the beginning of the recovery of the European economy.
Bulk is not only about China even though it is a key driver. In this section, we have taken a closer look at the European seaborne coal markets, which is going through some interesting times right now. European coal demand has been in a slump ever since early 2009,
Global monetary policy easing, low interest rates and volatile inflationary pressure from goods, services, and assets is “dish of the day” as the global economy is desperate to shrug off the bad effects of the financial crisis that still haunts us.
The global economy remains on the expansionary track at the start of 2013. The positive development is underpinned by rising global employment, a faster new order inflow and a higher output of services and manufactured goods.