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Macro Economics - Global recovery is taking a breather before growth is expected to resume at a higher pace in the second half of 2011

20 June 2011

The speed of the global recovery has slowed down over the past couple of months, but the prospects for stronger growth in the second half of the year remain intact, as the underlying growth trend as well as job creation continues. But sustaining this may be highly dependent on output and demand solidifying in the coming months.

Macro Economics - GDP and world trade growth downwardly adjusted as the double-dip-ghost refuses to leave the stage.

09 October 2011

2011 started out with a lot of optimism fuelled by a surprisingly better-than-expected growth in the second half of 2010. As the year has progressed it has turned into a paradise lost rather than the sustainable recovery we were all hoping for. Since the January issue of World Economic Outlook was released, IMF has reduced the growth expectations for the Global GDP and now expects only 4.0% growth in 2011. If this forecast holds true, it will be the slowest global growth since 2003 – if you discard the crisis-years of 2008 and 2009. Slashing not only its 2011-estimate, the 2012 outlook has been further lowered, cutting a 0.5%-point off the previously expected 4.5%. Growth is not only slowing down, it is also more unevenly distributed. The growth in advanced economies is now set for 1.6% as compared to an estimate of 2.4% 20 months ago. In contrast, Emerging and Developing economies are up 0.1 to reach 6.4 as compared to 20 months ago.

Macro Economics: Uncertainty in Asia echoes around the world

22 January 2016

2016 continues where 2015 ended, with all eyes on China. This is mainly because of uncertainty surrounding the development of the world’s second-largest economy. When the first day of the Shanghai Stock Exchange of 2016 closed prematurely, the trading results echoed around the world. It warned us that we are in for a rough ride in 2016.