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Macro Economics - Recent die-hard optimism is being shadowed by dark clouds partly created by political problems. Key figures are falling short of expectations, but the direction is alright

13 June 2012

The recent optimism has fortunately not completely evaporated following the latest series of less positive economic indicators from across the globe, including India, the US, Brazil and Spain. The EU debt situation creates a lot of uncertainty, not only as regards economic development but also regarding the political situation on both sides of the Atlantic Basin.

Macro Economics - A cautiously optimistic outlook supports the road towards higher growth and reinstates stronger business confidence

11 April 2012

The global economy is getting better. The dark clouds that were piling up towards the end of 2011 have now spread, as brisk winds of change are beginning to restore optimism. However, the economic crisis is still not over and many tough political decisions have to be made before we can stand on top of a sustainable recovery. Three factors give us reason to believe things are getting better:

Macro Economics - China is spearheading the global recovery

10 August 2010

Global economy: World growth is now projected at 4.6% in 2010. Relative to the April 2010 World Economic Outlook (WEO), this represents an upward revision of about ½ a percentage point in 2010, reflecting stronger activity during the first half of the year. At the same time, Eurozone downside risks have risen sharply amid renewed financial turbulence.

Macro Economics

12 April 2010

At first recovery needs to be sustainable – then tightening of public stimulus needs to be coherent and must not take place too soon

Macro economics - Slow and fragile recovery

05 December 2010

Achieving a “strong, balanced, and sustained world recovery” - requires two fundamental and difficult economic rebalancing acts according to IMF. First, internal rebalancing: When private demand collapsed, fiscal stimulus helped alleviate the fall in output. But fiscal stimulus has to eventually give way to fiscal consolidation, and private demand must be strong enough to take the lead and sustain growth.

Macro Economics - Global recovery is taking a breather before growth is expected to resume at a higher pace in the second half of 2011

20 June 2011

The speed of the global recovery has slowed down over the past couple of months, but the prospects for stronger growth in the second half of the year remain intact, as the underlying growth trend as well as job creation continues. But sustaining this may be highly dependent on output and demand solidifying in the coming months.