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2014 is off to a good start, as global economic growth is already stronger than anticipated three months ago. At the end of January, the IMF upwardly adjusted its estimates for global economic development in 2013-2015. Amongst the countries receiving noticeable positive adjustments were the US, Japan, Spain, UK, China and India.
The recovery in the advanced economies continues to strengthen as fiscal consolidation is slowing down and investors are less worried about the debt situation. We have seen this with several southern European nations now being able to tap into the financial markets once again at interest rate levels signalling improved health.
Shipping being a derived demand of global economic growth will see lower demand in coming years, all other things being equal, than was previously expected.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has revised down its predictions for global growth in 2019 and 2020. It forecasts growth to be 3.5% in 2019 and 3.6% in 2020. This means a dampening of global growth over the next two years, as growth in 2018 is estimated to be 3.7% The slowdown will affect both advanced and emerging economies.
A continued slowdown in global growth, as well as a lower trade multiplier will reduce overall demand for shipping for the rest of this year and through 2020.
Economic growth around the world is slowing, and several governments – including Germany, China and South Korea – have announced stimulus packages to boost their economies.
The recent months’ uptick in global indicators, which implies a strengthening in the global economy, is not sufficient for the patient to be discharged yet. The state of the global economy is still uncertain, despite stronger growth dynamics in advanced economies, and not least in China.
For the demand side to reap the full benefits of this possible global upturn, globalisation must be embraced and the gains from open trade must be a key focus of the policymaker's agenda, replacing any inward-looking policies
The World Health Organization (WHO) has declared the outbreak of the novel coronavirus a pandemic. There is little doubt that this will have significant implications for the shipping industry. But to what extent?
Global monetary policy easing, low interest rates and volatile inflationary pressure from goods, services, and assets is “dish of the day” as the global economy is desperate to shrug off the bad effects of the financial crisis that still haunts us.
