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Dry Bulk Shipping - Handling the supply side challenge remains top of the agenda

16 August 2012

The summer lull in the freight market is soon to be over as we enter into the seasonally-stronger final five months of the year. Hopefully, this will bring around higher earnings, but the outlook is unlikely to support a joyride similar to that of last year. The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) currently stands at 843 (August 6), a level which is 53% below the average of the final five months of 2011.

Macro Economics - Recent die-hard optimism is being shadowed by dark clouds partly created by political problems. Key figures are falling short of expectations, but the direction is alright

13 June 2012

The recent optimism has fortunately not completely evaporated following the latest series of less positive economic indicators from across the globe, including India, the US, Brazil and Spain. The EU debt situation creates a lot of uncertainty, not only as regards economic development but also regarding the political situation on both sides of the Atlantic Basin.

Dry Bulk Shipping - The haunted dry bulk sector awaits positive demand impact from China and is beaten by supply growth in record territory.

13 June 2012

The dry bulk market is under immense pressure, as the retreating weight of China as the driver of the market is extensively felt. At a time when supply growth simply breaks new mind-blowing delivery records, the demand situation is pitching in a bit too. Currently, there are reports of Chinese customers in the steel industry that are refusing to honour their contract as prices drop, and stock piles are fuller than normal at a time when steel mills take their foot off the throttle following a red-hot production period in recent months.

Dry Bulk Shipping - An unpleasant endurance race has begun for dry bulk owners, as healthy demand is overwhelmingly outstripped by oversupply

21 June 2011

The healthy demand picture of some 6% demand growth is what keeps the dry bulkers afloat. Despite the multiple disruptions that have already taken place, we see growing demand for almost all commodities. This has certainly prevented a meltdown of freight rates. Many people expected the current doldrums already last year, but extremely strong demand growth in 2010 postponed the hardship into 2011.